Lagos could accommodate at least 20 shopping malls, says property developer

The construction of shopping malls in Nigeria and the country’s retail potential is a hot topic, as highlighted by discussions at last month’s Africa Property Investment Summit in Johannesburg.

South African food retailer Shoprite Holdings, which has partnered with different property development companies to take the anchor position in a number of these planned malls, is emphasising the demand for mall expansion across the West African country.

According to Hakeem Ogunniran, managing director of UACN Property Development Company (UPDC) in Nigeria, Lagos could effectively hold 20 malls. The rapidly expanding city and commercial hub currently has three large modern shopping malls (with a fourth to be opened soon) and has seen a growing consumer class and a number of international retail companies enter the space.

Ogunniran told How we made it in Africa that Johannesburg, with a population of 4-5m people, has substantially more malls than Lagos. “Lagos with 17-20m could presumably take up to 20-25 malls.”

UPDC, which is also developing in the residential and commercial (office) real estate markets, is looking at the country’s potential in its “B and C grade” cities for formal retail infrastructure, office spaces and residential developments, said Ogunniran.

This is in alignment with what Resilient Africa’s managing director Holden Marshall told How we made it in Africa last month. Resilient Africa is focused specifically on developing smaller shopping centres in Nigeria, of which Shoprite is a partner.

Although Resilient Africa is securing sites to develop malls in the popular retail hubs of Lagos and Abuja, it is also targeting a number of other cities in the country. Warri in the Delta State in southern Nigeria will see the Delta City Mall completed by November next year. Marshall said the company has either secured or is in the process of securing sites in Asaba, Benin City, Port Harcourt, Owerri, Yenagoa and Abeokuta.

According to Marshall, the growing middle class population in these cities is underserviced. “And that’s why the retailers are going there… [They] have got money to spend and are looking for good brands, a nice environment, and a modern facility. And that’s what we are hoping to capture and deliver.”

Warri, where Resilient Africa’s first mall is being built, is seeing rapid growth and has a good income per capita.

“That whole south Delta region of Nigeria, a large part of it is based on an oil economy,” Marshall explained. “All those cities in that region are growing exceptionally fast. In the last three years they have all sort of quadrupled in size. So Warri is quite a substantial city. [There are] indications of a population of 1.5m that is sort of countable but there are a lot more [people].”

Nigerian Builder Set to Construct Africa's Next Giant City

 Local News:

LAGOS, Nigeria—Africa's towns are working out of area, prompting a real-estate developer here to erect what could be Africa's ritziest region on a beach long known as a haven for time laborers and beer tipplers.

The shacks that packed the shoreline called Bar Beach are gone, changed by structure tents. People who squatted here were evicted. For the past four years, a Lebanese-Nigerian property developer has hosed sand into the ocean, creating new area for in the offing running routes, yacht jetties and condominiums with helipads for 250,000 opulent Nigerians.

The newest Eko Atlantic township is emblematic of a flourishing business in Africa where developers construct walled-off towns for ab muscles wealthy on a continent that is still the world's poorest.

Designer Gilbert Chagoury, founder of Nigeria's Chagoury Class, is the epitome of Africa's moneyed type: Aside from a friendship with Statement Clinton, whose 1996 presidential strategy he helped fund, Mr. Chagoury offers an ambassadorship from St. Lucia to the Vatican and a gallery in the Louvre named following him and his partner, equally contributors.

Remove with funding from French banks which are enticed by Africa's rapid development, the 67-year-old Mr. Chagoury is looking to top his job most abundant in colossal real-estate project in West Africa.

"That will probably be very same of Champs Élysées in Paris or Sixth Avenue in New York," says David Frame, handling director of South EnergX, a building model of Chagoury Group. He was sitting on a gravel road that will be smooth into an eight-lane boulevard, finishing at a gated quit into the rest of Lagos.

Africa has got the world's fastest-growing towns, based on the United Nations. Their recent metropolitan populace of 450 million is anticipated to triple next four decades.

As vacant area disappears in African-american towns, foreign investors are performing with the creation of new towns out of woods, grasslands and landfill. Investors be prepared to move huge gains from offering Africa's rich places to reside, function and shop away from the failing infrastructure and squalor of previous cities.

But these tasks attended under fireplace from critics who explain that they may certainly not relieve the property disaster striking the majority of the population. In Lagos, few will have a way to manage Eko Atlantic's glass tower condos.

Meanwhile, many of these gargantuan tasks are struggling. Renaissance Capital Economic Holdings Ltd. of Moscow plans to build an area for 62,000 persons on a coffee farm outside Nairobi, Kenya, and a similar-size project on a pepper subject near Ghana's money of Accra.

The coffee farm in Kenya continues to be just that, as Renaissance computes a dispute with shareholders. The project in Ghana is mired in a disagreement between regional chiefs over who owns the pepper field.

China Global Trust and Investment Corp. created a $3.5 million city for 500,000 persons near Angola's money, Luanda. The suburb opened in 2011 but remains a ghost town, as the government strains to market the $200,000 condos to a population whose per-capita money is $6,000 a year.

Mr. Chagoury hopes that Eko Atlantic will soon be different. Project executives indicate Lagos's population of oil-rich elites, which will be both larger than that of Luanda's and readier to cover top money for clear roads and contemporary infrastructure. They decrease to state simply how much Eko Atlantic will surely cost, other to say it will soon be "in the billions" of dollars.

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Samuel David for The Wall Block Diary

What the Atlantic structure site seems like nowadays

Their city, Lagos, is crowded and chaotic. Its population develops by seven persons every 10 moments, in line with the U.N., which estimates that Lagos has 11 million persons and is the world's fastest-growing megacity. The Nigerian government sets the city's total population at 21 million.

Even yet in classy neighborhoods, sewage pockets up from open ditches. For want of company systems, countless companies fit their headquarters into moldy midcentury ranch houses. At lunch, many companies turn off their lights to sleep chugging electrical generators. To escape choking traffic, many elites drive by helicopter or yacht.

What small property there is for Nigeria's rising middle income is pricey. Average lease on a three-bedroom house in downtown Lagos is $3,624 a month, in accordance with Dubai-based research organization Reidin. Landlords often expect couple of years of lease in advance, preferably compensated in U.S. dollars. It is a challenge for Nigeria's middle income, whose money averages about $600 a month, in accordance with Renaissance Capital.

Buying is simply as tough. Town files on area ownership really are a chaos, stockpiled or missing. Swindles involving forged brands and the fraudulent purchase of villas are common.

House loans come with double-digit fascination rates. In a nation of 167 million persons, you can find only 20,000 mortgages, in accordance with Nigeria's financing minister, Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala.

To help keep velocity, structure activity increases by 13% a year, according to government statistics. Architect Ade Laoye estimates that Lagos needs at least needs 10,000 extra houses a year.

"We do not have the architects, electricians, bricklayers, designers, the contractors," Mr. Laoye says.

One individual who have sources is Mr. Chagoury, a Nigerian-born structure magnate. He got his first taste of city-making in the 1990s, once the government appointed him to construct a small banana-shaped peninsula now dotted with million-dollar homes.

In 2003, Lagos's government approached Mr. Chagoury with a problem. Waves were crashing around Bar Beach, washing away some of the drug scene, but also flooding shore-side paths and wetting the lobbies of essential Nigerian companies.

He returned by having an provide to build a ocean wall without charge. In return, Lagos's government allowed his company to dredge mud from the underside of the Atlantic Ocean—and shoot it out of a hose to generate 3.9 sq miles of beach.

The sq mile mixed to date is a panorama of mud, resembling the Sahara. Manhole addresses appear several feet above the dunes because the skeletal beginnings of a drainage system. Nearby the water, cranes decline X-shaped blocks to make a ocean wall.

Mr. Chagoury dropped requests for an interview. But challenge professionals say that they curently have distributed all but two of the several dozen making web sites on the sandlot. Consumers program an global school, high-rise condos, spas, headquarters for several fat companies, a conference center formed like the sails of a vessel and a U-shaped office tower called Unity.

Lower-end developers fear such endeavors can inflate the cost of making components for decades to come. An already extended method of getting bricklayers and cement mixers can keep to perform here.

Designers like Michel El Chemor are unapologetic about catering to the utmost effective end of Nigeria's property market. He acquired a plot from Mr. Chagoury for the site's first skyscraper: a $50 million, 24-story residence called Eko Pearl. It will peer out around a marina—and the smog and skyline of Lagos.

"I am sorry to say, but it's chaos in Lagos," he says. "They're likely to need to destroy what they had before and rebuild it, that will have a long time."