[Note from the Saker: I take no position on the thesis presented in this article, but I do find it very interesting and I therefore decided to submit it to you all for discussion.]
by Brandon J. Ferro for Only Price Matters
In the chart below I plot crude, the Russian Ruble (RUB) and OPEC production.
From 2012 through mid-2014 all three print sideways.
However, to the day beginning on 7/29/14, crude and RUB begin to collapse while OPEC production soars.
Why such an abrupt reversal and why so vividly in lock-step, highly correlated fashion together?
Because on 7/29/14 the US and EU announced new, expanded sanctions on Russia designed to tighten the economic vice on the country for its involvement in the annexation of Crimea from Ukraine.
by Brandon J. Ferro for Only Price Matters
In the chart below I plot crude, the Russian Ruble (RUB) and OPEC production.
From 2012 through mid-2014 all three print sideways.
However, to the day beginning on 7/29/14, crude and RUB begin to collapse while OPEC production soars.
Why such an abrupt reversal and why so vividly in lock-step, highly correlated fashion together?
Because on 7/29/14 the US and EU announced new, expanded sanctions on Russia designed to tighten the economic vice on the country for its involvement in the annexation of Crimea from Ukraine.




